Thanksgiving turkey prices soar 40% as disease slashes 2025 supply

Turkey prices have surged ahead of the 2025 Thanksgiving season, with costs rising sharply due to disease outbreaks and reduced production. Wholesale frozen whole hen turkeys now average about $1.32 per pound—a 40% jump from last year. The increase comes as farmers cut supply and battle ongoing health challenges in flocks. Disease has hit turkey production hard in recent months. In September 2025 alone, over 600,000 birds were lost to highly pathogenic avian influenza, with Minnesota among the worst-affected states. Earlier in 2024, avian metapneumovirus (AMPV) struck 60-80% of flocks, further tightening supply.

Producers now plan to raise fewer birds in response. The USDA expects around 195 million turkeys in 2025, a 3% drop from 2024. Output in the first half of the year fell by 9.7% compared to the same period last year, reaching roughly 2.33 billion pounds. With prices up 22.65% for Thanksgiving, consumers are being urged to make the most of leftovers. National Leftovers Day on Nov. 28 promotes repurposing meals to cut waste and save money. The USDA advises storing cooked turkey and sides in the fridge for three to four days, though gravy and stuffing should be eaten within one to two days. Freezing portions for later use is also recommended.

Higher turkey prices reflect both disease-related losses and deliberate production cuts. Consumers face steeper costs this holiday, but careful storage and creative use of leftovers may help offset expenses. The USDA continues to monitor supply as the industry adjusts to ongoing challenges.